The aftermath of the COVID crisis and the ongoing Ukraine conflict has been a surge in inflation to level not seen in a long time. From globalization and fear of deflation to friend-shoring and fear of inflation. Looking back at the last 40 years, summer 1982 marked the start of...
Nov 2021 Mckinsey published "The rise and rise of the global balance sheet or.... How productively are we using our wealth? As its says: Assets on the world's balance sheet in 2020 totaled $ 1540 trillion, or +18 times GDP and up from 13.2 times GDP in 2000 Real assets like...
In the analytical process of my portfolio approach I highlight these five interconnected points. To simplify! In a strong trend, each tends to confirm the behavior of the other. Ex: strong bull trend will show a great majority of stock trending higher (homogeneity & breadth), Credit spreads compressing, general optimism,...
The first time I really heard about Ukraine was in 1986 during the Chernobyl nuclear incident. Holodomor or "Terror Famine" was the other event I read about while at school. Since then, many things took place and the impression left is that Ukraine is "famous" for negative and dramatic...
I have focused most of my stock market comments on the US stock market. Why? Since the GFC of 2008 which originated in the USA; money managers and investors had to do one choice. Allocate 100% of their equity exposure to the US stock market, in particular to the Nasdaq...
You may have come across some info in regard to the Basel III potential impact on Gold price. Here is an article by Mathew Piepenberg via GoldSwitzerland.com, which covers pretty well the changes. The way I look at it is that physical gold price will probably become the main...
Back in July and August 2020, I had published updates on the yellow metal since Silver had broken an important resistance. Here is an update of GOLD/ZROZ (US treasury 30 year zero coupon bonds) or..future long term cash! (Above chart) GDX (Gold Miners)/ZROZ. Precious metal investors (Gold Bugs) have been a bit...
The two charts are a just an illustration over time of how I best view the principal driving forces behind the markets. What matters here, are the proportions and their respective empirical evolution. It varies countries from countries but since we all use the same monetary/economic system, the trip is...
COVID 19 has exposed many weaknesses of our system. Mainstreet awareness that things are not working the way it should be, is increasing fast and the clock is ticking. In SGG’s approach, I highlight one question “Do Central Banks have such unlimited power without unintended consequences? In Princes of the...
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